FROM RELIAWEATHER.COM - THE LEADER IN RELIABLE WEATHER...POTENT WINTER STORM TO DELIVER VARYING AMOUNTS OF SNOW/ SLEET/ FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...A BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 7 PM WEDNESDAY FOR DEFIANCE AND WILLIAMS COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST OHIO...THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT...
...A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ERIE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY...
AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION, SLIGHT VARIATIONS BETWEEN MODEL RUNS HAVE AFFECTED SNOW AND ICE PREDICTIONS FOR A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM. LOW PRESSURE AND AMPLE GULF MOISTURE WILL LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. KEY IN DETERMINING PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS WILL BE STORM TRACK. GFS HAS INCREASINGLY FAVORED THE LOW TAKING A CINCINNATI-TO-CLEVELAND TRACK.
THIS PLACES EXTREME NORTHWEST OHIO IN THE COLD AIR, FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. A TRACK 90 MILES WEST HOWEVER, WOULD BRING WARMER AIR ALOFT FARTHER NORTH AND WEST, RESULTING IN A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. CURRENT THINKING IS SOME FREEZING PRECIP MAY MIX WITH SNOW LATER TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF ROUTE-24. PRECIPITATION SHOULD QUICKLY CHANGE BACK TO SNOW HOWEVER, AS COLDER AIR OVERTAKES WARM AIR NEAR THE BOUNDARY LAYER.
IF THIS SCENARIO HOLDS, ERIE METRO AND LOCATIONS EAST COULD SEE HIGHER ICE TOTALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. STILL HOWEVER, THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE INLAND AREAS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS SOUTH OF I-90, WHERE COLDER AIR AT THE SURFACE BECOMES WEDGED UNDER WARM AIR ALOFT. ERIE STILL STANDS A CHANCE OF SEEING DECENT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE SHORE.
BELOW, ARE RELIAWEATHER PREDICTIONS FOR LOCATIONS WITHIN PROXIMITY OF DEFIANCE, OHIO...
DEFIANCE METRO (INCLUDES THE CITIES OF NAPOLEON/ PAULDING/ CONTINENTAL/ BRYAN, OHIO): TODAY... MORNING FLURRIES AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE, WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AFTER 1PM. HIGHS IN THE LOWER-20S. TONIGHT... HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF ROUTE-24. LOWS IN THE TEENS. WINDS EAST AT 25-30 MPH, GUSTING UP TO 40 MPH. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION 4-7 INCHES POSSIBLE. WED... HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW, ACCUMULATING AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 INCHES IN THE MORNING. BLUSTERY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER-20S. NORTH WINDS 15-25 MPH.
TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATION: SNOW... 6-10 INCHES/ ICE... 0.2"
ERIE METRO: TODAY... PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW SHOWERS. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE UPPER-20S. TONIGHT... PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATING 1-3 INCHES, WITH LESSER AMOUNTS SOUTH OF I-90. ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE HALF INCH POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY INLAND. LOWS IN THE UPPER-20S. WINDS EAST AT 15-25 MPH, GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH. WED... OCCASIONAL SNOW, ACUCMULATING AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 INCHES. HIGHS NEAR-STEADY AROUND 30, FALLING INTO THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 15-25, GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH... BECOMING NORTH AT 10-20 MPH.
TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATION: SNOW... 3-5 INCHES/ ICE... 0.5" (LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS SOUTH OF I-90)
CINCINNATI METRO EXCLUDED FROM THIS DISCUSSION.
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JFB
